Emerald Growth Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HSPGX Fund  USD 29.30  0.05  0.17%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Emerald Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Emerald Growth is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerald Growth Fund are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Emerald Growth may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Emerald Growth Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,686  in Emerald Growth Fund on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  244.00  from holding Emerald Growth Fund or generate 9.08% return on investment over 90 days. Emerald Growth Fund is currently producing 0.1518% returns and takes up 1.3686% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Emerald, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerald Growth is expected to generate 1.8 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Emerald Growth Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
29.30
Please note that Emerald Growth's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Emerald Growth shows a prevailing Real Value of $26.67 per share. The current price of the fund is $29.3. We determine the value of Emerald Growth from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Emerald Growth is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Emerald Mutual Fund. However, Emerald Growth's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  29.3 Real  26.67 Hype  29.16 Naive  30.32
The intrinsic value of Emerald Growth's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Emerald Growth's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
26.67
Real Value
32.23
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Emerald Growth Fund helps investors to forecast how Emerald mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Emerald Growth more accurately as focusing exclusively on Emerald Growth's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8229.0729.63
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7929.1630.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
28.9630.3231.69
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Emerald Growth Fund extending back to September 20, 1993. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Emerald Growth stands at 29.30, as last reported on the 28th of February, with the highest price reaching 29.30 and the lowest price hitting 29.30 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Emerald Growth Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Emerald Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.30 90 days 29.30 
about 11.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Emerald Growth to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.73 (This Emerald Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Emerald Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerald Growth Fund has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Emerald Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Emerald Growth Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Emerald Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.2332, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Emerald Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Emerald Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emerald Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7929.1630.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.3026.6732.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.9630.3231.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8229.0729.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Emerald Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Emerald Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Emerald Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Emerald Growth.

Emerald Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Emerald Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Emerald Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Emerald Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Emerald Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Emerald Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Emerald Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Emerald Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Emerald Growth Fundamentals Growth

Emerald Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Emerald Growth, and Emerald Growth fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Emerald Mutual Fund performance.

About Emerald Growth Performance

Evaluating Emerald Growth's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Emerald Growth has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Emerald Growth has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal conditions, the fund typically invests in equity securities of U.S. and foreign companies, including common stocks, preferred stocks, and securities convertible into common or preferred stocks. It can invest in companies from a wide range of industries and of various sizes. This includes smaller companies, which are defined by the Adviser as those having a market capitalization equal to or less than that of the largest companies in the Russell 2000 Index.

Things to note about Emerald Growth performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Emerald Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Emerald Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Emerald Growth's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Emerald Growth's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Emerald Growth's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Emerald Growth's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Emerald Growth's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Emerald Growth's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Emerald Growth's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Emerald Growth's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Emerald Growth's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Emerald Growth's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Emerald Growth's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Emerald Mutual Fund

Emerald Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Emerald Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Emerald with respect to the benefits of owning Emerald Growth security.
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